2
Holly Holy
4yo Filly · 10-2 · Draw 7 · OR 60
Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | Chelmsford City | Daniel Muscutt | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Southwell | Daniel Muscutt | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Lingfield | D Egan | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Southwell | J Mitchell | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-16 | Yarmouth | Daniel Muscutt | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 5-14 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength32%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 17/08/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 04/09/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 27/09/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 26/11/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |