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7

Medieval Night

4yo Gelding · 9-11 · Draw 1 · OR 55

Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

In-form maiden who was placed for the fifth time this season when third of 16 in handicap at Gowran (8.3f, soft, 12/1) 11 days ago. Can give another good account on polytrack debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA56 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 56 · 7f94y Goo 138 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 56 par30/0656OR 56BHA56 @ Leopardstown 09/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 22 · OR 56 · 1m1f Goo 138 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 56 parBHA56 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 56 · 1m40y Gd 138 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 56 par15/0756OR 56BHA57 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR 57 · 1m Goo 139 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 57 parBHA56 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 56 · 1m1f100y GF 138 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 56 par12/0856OR 56C9 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 59 · 1m Yie 141 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 59 parBHA56 @ Clonmel 16/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 56 · 1m1f168y Yie 138 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 56 par16/0956OR 56BHA56 @ Thurles 08/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 56 · 1m69y Yie 138 · beat its mark08/10/2026 · OR 56 parBHA55 @ Gowran Park 19/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 55 · 1m75y Sft 140 · beat its mark19/10/2026 · OR 55 par19/1055OR 55projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-19Gowran ParkJared HugganBHA553rd3rd0
2026-10-08ThurlesJ M SheridanBHA566th6th0
2026-09-16ClonmelJ M SheridanBHA563rd3rd0
2026-09-01Gowran ParkReese Holohan?5th5th0
2026-08-12Gowran ParkBilly LeeBHA562nd2nd0
2026-07-22NaasJared HugganBHA576th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0622/0716/0919/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength57%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/06/202610th9/153%36%-0.17
09/07/20264th22/10%86%+0.86
15/07/20267th12/137%50%+0.13
22/07/20266th16/116%71%+0.55
12/08/20262nd6/168%93%+0.24
01/09/20265th10/147%73%+0.26
16/09/20263rd6/168%85%+0.16
08/10/20266th9/276%58%-0.18
19/10/20263rd12/137%87%+0.50