10

Prada's World

4yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 10 · OR 45

Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#11

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Strong in the betting having her first try beyond 5f for this yard but was never going quickly enough to seriously threaten when fourth of 14 in handicap at Thurles (8.3f, good to soft) 22 days ago. Makes polytrack debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 9.1)

Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 10/09/2024 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 7f Yie 12510/09C8C8 @ Cork 01/10/2024 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m Yie 1281/10C8C8 @ Naas 12/10/2024 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m Yie 12812/10C8BHA56 @ Galway 28/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 56 · 7f Hvy 124 · beat its mark28/10/2024 · OR 56 par28/1056OR 56BHA55 @ Navan 26/04/2025 · Pos 11th of 20 · OR 55 · 5f Sft 119 · beat its mark26/04/2025 · OR 55 par26/0455OR 55BHA49 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 19 · OR 49 · 5f Goo 131 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 49 par23/0849OR 49BHA45 @ Thurles 08/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 45 · 1m69y Yie 127 · beat its mark08/10/2026 · OR 45 par8/1045OR 45projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-08ThurlesShane KellyBHA454th4th0
2026-08-23NaasLuke McAteerBHA4915th15th0
2025-04-26NavanPatrick McGettiganBHA5511th11th0
2024-10-28GalwayRobbie ColganBHA563rd3rd0
2024-10-12NaasRobbie Colgan?8th8th0
2024-10-01CorkRobbie Colgan?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0928/108/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/202414th40/10%13%+0.13
01/10/20249th150/10%43%+0.43
12/10/20248th200/10%30%+0.30
28/10/20243rd100/10%87%+0.87
26/04/202511th33/10%47%+0.47
23/08/202615th40/10%22%+0.22
08/10/20264th11/271%77%+0.06