10

Prada's World
4yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 10 · OR 45
Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 9.1)
Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Thurles | Shane Kelly | BHA45 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Naas | Luke McAteer | BHA49 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Navan | Patrick McGettigan | BHA55 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-10-28 | Galway | Robbie Colgan | BHA56 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-10-12 | Naas | Robbie Colgan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-10-01 | Cork | Robbie Colgan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2024 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 01/10/2024 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 12/10/2024 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 28/10/2024 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 26/04/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 23/08/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 08/10/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 77% | +0.06 |