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13

Sceitimini

3yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 13 · OR 45

Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#10

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Returned to form when third of 15 in handicap at Gowran (8.3f, soft) 11 days ago, just unable to sustain his effort late on after racing freely. Place claims again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f Yie 12816/10C8BHA62 @ Dundalk 12/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 62 · 6f Std 130 · below its mark12/11/2025 · OR 62 parBHA60 @ Dundalk 23/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 60 · 5f Std 129 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 60 par23/0160OR 60BHA58 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 58 · 5f3y Gd 135 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 58 parBHA56 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 56 · 5f Goo 128 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 56 par14/0856OR 56BHA52 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 52 · 1m Yie 134 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 52 parBHA48 @ Listowel 22/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 48 · 7f15y Yie 128 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 48 par22/0948OR 48BHA45 @ Cork 29/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 19 · OR 45 · 6f Sft 127 · beat its mark29/09/2026 · OR 45 parBHA43 @ Gowran Park 19/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 43 · 1m75y Sft 123 · beat its mark19/10/2026 · OR 43 par19/1043OR 43projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-19Gowran ParkKillian LeonardBHA433rd3rd0
2026-09-29CorkJ M SheridanBHA4513th13th0
2026-09-22ListowelJ M SheridanBHA487th7th0
2026-08-30CorkShay WallaceBHA525th5th0
2026-08-14CorkSeamie HeffernanBHA5611th11th0
2026-07-03BellewstownColin KeaneBHA5813th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/103/0722/0919/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/202510th150/10%18%+0.18
12/11/20258th33/10%46%+0.46
23/01/20265th18/15%69%+0.64
03/07/202613th12/137%0%-0.37
14/08/202611th33/10%9%+0.09
30/08/20265th80/10%73%+0.73
22/09/20267th33/10%57%+0.57
29/09/202613th9/153%33%-0.19
19/10/20263rd25/10%86%+0.86