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4

Storm Eric

7yo Gelding · 10-1 · Draw 15 · OR 59

Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

100%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gained due reward for a plethora of placed efforts when winning a 14-runner handicap at this course (10.7f, 6/1) 21 days ago, holding on gamely. Drop back in trip isn't an issue and he can go well again despite wide draw.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA56 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 56 · 1m2f150y Std 138 · beat its mark20/02/2026 · OR 56 par20/0256OR 56BHA55 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 55 · 1m2f150y Std 137 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 55 parBHA55 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 55 · 1m2f150y Std 125 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 55 par20/0355OR 55BHA55 @ Dundalk 27/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 55 · 1m2f150y Std 138 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 55 parC8 @ Wexford 07/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 2m180y Goo 1667/08C8BHA54 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 54 · 1m2f150y Std 140 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 54 parBHA51 @ Dundalk 18/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 51 · 1m Std 135 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 51 par18/0951OR 51BHA53 @ Dundalk 25/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 53 · 1m Std 137 · beat its mark25/09/2026 · OR 53 parBHA54 @ Dundalk 09/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 54 · 1m2f150y Std 136 · beat its mark09/10/2026 · OR 54 par9/1054OR 54projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09DundalkAdam GrantBHA541st1st0
2026-09-25DundalkAdam GrantBHA533rd3rd0
2026-09-18DundalkAdam GrantBHA512nd2nd0
2026-08-15DundalkAdam GrantBHA548th8th0
2026-08-07WexfordKeith Donoghue?13th13th0
2026-03-27DundalkAdam CaffreyBHA552nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0227/0318/099/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength94%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/02/20264th11/271%77%+0.06
13/03/20262nd8/158%92%+0.34
20/03/20263rd11/271%83%+0.12
27/03/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02
07/08/202613th66/10%8%+0.08
15/08/20268th11/142%46%+0.04
18/09/20262nd28/10%92%+0.92
25/09/20263rd4/179%85%+0.06
09/10/20261st6/168%100%+0.32