5
Tyraxes
4yo Gelding · 9-13 · Draw 11 · OR 57
Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Dundalk | Mel Sheridan | BHA61 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-09-30 | Bellewstown | Jared Huggan | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-10 | Laytown | Siobhan Rutledge | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | J M Sheridan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | Oisin Murphy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Killarney | J M Sheridan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 7-14 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 20/07/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 10/09/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/10/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |