14

Whatsin The Stars

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 17 · OR 41

Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#14

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★ Timeform

Commentary

Starman filly who is still to even hint at ability in 6 starts. Easily passed over.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 11.2 /10 (raw 11.2)

Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 12925/07C8C8 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR - · 1m Goo 1293/08C8C8 @ Bellewstown 25/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 7f195y Goo 12925/08C8C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m20y Goo 1292/09C8C8 @ Dundalk 25/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 6f Std 12225/09C8BHA45 @ Dundalk 16/10/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 45 · 7f Std 126 · beat its mark16/10/2026 · OR 45 par16/1045OR 45projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-16DundalkShay WallaceBHA459th9th0
2026-09-25DundalkShay Wallace?9th9th0
2026-09-02NavanLeigh Roche?12th12th0
2026-08-25BellewstownLeigh Roche?11th11th0
2026-08-03NaasLeigh Roche?15th15th0
2026-07-25Gowran ParkLeigh Roche?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/073/0825/082/0925/0916/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 7-11 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength40%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/07/202611th125/10%17%+0.17
03/08/202615th250/10%13%+0.13
25/08/202611th400/10%29%+0.29
02/09/202612th400/10%8%+0.08
25/09/20269th200/10%38%+0.38
16/10/20269th100/10%38%+0.38