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3yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 3 · OR 83

Dundalk · Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap · 1m 4f

#6

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Opened account at Roscommon in June and acquitted himself well since, finding further improvement when close second of 15 in handicap at Leopardstown (1¼m, good to soft, 11/2) 12 days ago, clear of rest. Likely contender.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 1349/01C8C8 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 134C8 @ Down Royal 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f109y Goo 13429/05C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 72 · 1m1f163y Yie 134 · below its mark22/06/2026 · OR 72 parBHA72 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 72 · 1m2f63y Goo 132 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 72 par30/0672OR 72BHA78 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 78 · 1m4f84y Yie 129 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 78 parBHA80 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 80 · 1m2f150y Std 119 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 80 par15/0880OR 80BHA78 @ Thurles 08/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 78 · 1m4f154y Yie 129 · below its mark08/10/2026 · OR 78 parBHA78 @ Leopardstown 18/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 78 · 1m2f Goo 134 · below its mark18/10/2026 · OR 78 par18/1078OR 78projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-18LeopardstownAndrew SlatteryBHA782nd2nd0
2026-10-08ThurlesAndrew SlatteryBHA783rd3rd0
2026-08-15DundalkAndrew SlatteryBHA808th8th0
2026-07-27GalwayAndrew SlatteryBHA784th4th0
2026-06-30RoscommonBen CoenBHA721st1st0
2026-06-22BallinrobeAndrew Slattery?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0122/0615/0818/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength62%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/01/20265th80/10%69%+0.69
30/01/20262nd9/276%92%+0.16
29/05/20262nd9/153%90%+0.37
22/06/20263rd4/596%60%-0.36
30/06/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
27/07/20264th12/137%79%+0.42
15/08/20268th11/271%46%-0.25
08/10/20263rd7/282%50%-0.32
18/10/20262nd11/271%93%+0.22