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3

Not Just Any Eagle

7yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 8 · OR 82

Dundalk · Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap · 1m 4f

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended long losing over longer trip at Clonmel last month and ran to similar level when good fifth of 17 in handicap at Naas (2m, soft, 33/1) 19 days ago. Should go well again, although drop back in trip may not be ideal.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA84 @ Leopardstown 19/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 84 · 1m4f Hvy 130 · below its mark19/10/2025 · OR 84 par19/1084OR 84BHA83 @ Gowran Park 08/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 83 · 1m5f180y Sft 143 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 83 parBHA82 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 82 · 1m4f40y Yie 142 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 82 par1/0682OR 82BHA80 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR 80 · 1m6f40y Goo 140 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 80 parBHA76 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 76 · 1m5f200y Goo 128 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 76 par8/0776OR 76BHA76 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 76 · 1m7f Goo 170 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 76 parBHA75 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 75 · 2m Goo 165 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 75 par2/0975OR 75BHA74 @ Clonmel 16/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 74 · 2m174y Yie 124 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 74 parBHA82 @ Naas 11/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR 82 · 2m Sft 126 · below its mark11/10/2026 · OR 82 par11/1082OR 82projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-11NaasRobyn Donaghue-LeahyBHA825th5th0
2026-09-16ClonmelRobyn Donaghue-LeahyBHA741st1st0
2026-09-02NavanMr D DoyleBHA754th4th0
2026-08-06LeopardstownMr Cian MurphyBHA762nd2nd0
2026-07-08FairyhouseRobyn Donaghue-LeahyBHA763rd3rd0
2026-06-12FairyhouseRobyn Donaghue-LeahyBHA8014th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1012/062/0911/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/10/20259th18/15%47%+0.41
08/04/202610th12/137%0%-0.37
01/06/20267th28/10%60%+0.60
12/06/202614th18/15%24%+0.18
08/07/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
06/08/20262nd5/287%88%+0.01
02/09/20264th10/147%80%+0.33
16/09/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
11/10/20265th33/10%75%+0.75