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7

Palmezzano

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 4 · OR 73

Dundalk · Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap · 1m 4f

#3

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Switched to blinkers, bounced back to form returned to more positive tactics when winning 10-runner maiden over C&D in February. Not seen since, though, and has more on his plate back handicapping here. Cheekpieces back on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 03/11/2024 · Pos 16th of 27 · OR - · 1m Yie 1333/11C8C8 @ Dundalk 06/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m Std 133C8 @ Dundalk 29/01/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 13429/01C8BHA69 @ Navan 08/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 19 · OR 69 · 1m2f Gd 137 · beat its mark08/04/2025 · OR 69 parBHA72 @ Roscommon 01/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 72 · 1m2f63y Yie 138 · below its mark01/07/2025 · OR 72 par1/0772OR 72C8 @ Dundalk 17/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 69 · 1m4f Std 134 · below its mark17/12/2025 · OR 69 parC8 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 71 · 1m2f150y Std 135 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 71 par9/01C8OR 71C8 @ Dundalk 28/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 70 · 1m2f150y Std 135 · below its mark28/01/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Dundalk 13/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 69 · 1m4f Std 135 · beat its mark13/02/2026 · OR 69 par13/02C8OR 69projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-13DundalkJ M Sheridan?1st1st0
2026-01-28DundalkReese Holohan?6th6th0
2026-01-09DundalkNicola Burns?4th4th0
2025-12-17DundalkAlan Casey?4th4th0
2025-07-01RoscommonDeclan McDonoghBHA727th7th0
2025-05-11LeopardstownDylan Browne McMonagleBHA740

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/118/049/0113/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength6%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/11/202416th40/10%42%+0.42
06/12/20245th7/163%60%-0.03
29/01/20257th14/126%50%+0.24
08/04/20252nd13/266%94%+0.29
01/07/20257th14/126%33%+0.07
17/12/20254th25/10%67%+0.67
09/01/20264th7/282%73%-0.09
28/01/20266th5/287%29%-0.58
13/02/20261st11/142%100%+0.58