8
Sunrush
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 76
Dundalk · Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap · 1m 4f
#9
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: BHA70
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Listowel | Andrew Slattery | BHA76 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | Sam Coen | BHA70 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Tramore | Sam Coen | BHA70 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | Andrew Slattery | BHA73 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Leopardstown | Andrew Slattery | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Curragh | Andrew Slattery | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 2-9 · tight 42/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -10.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 28/09/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 22/09/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |