2
Unterberg
7yo Gelding · 9-13 · Draw 1 · OR 86
Dundalk · Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap · 1m 4f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Curragh | Rory Mulligan | BHA70 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-21 | Listowel | Adam Browne-Souza | BHA70 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | Oisin Murphy | BHA73 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | Rory Mulligan | BHA75 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Leopardstown | Rory Mulligan | BHA78 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Roscommon | Rory Mulligan | BHA79 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/04/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 15% | -0.21 |
| 30/06/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 16/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 01/08/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 16/08/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 21/09/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 15/10/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 61% | +0.61 |