6

Zoffman
7yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 7 · OR 75
Dundalk · Book Your Christmas Party At Dundalk Stadium Handicap · 1m 4f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: BHA73
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Gowran Park | Donagh Meyler | BHA116 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-16 | Clonmel | Nicola Burns | BHA75 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Down Royal | Nicola Burns | BHA73 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | Nicola Burns | BHA74 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Tramore | Gary Carroll | BHA75 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | Adam Caffrey | BHA77 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength63%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 25/05/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 12/06/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 31/08/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 16/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 70% | -0.06 |
| 03/10/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 90% | +0.24 |