12
Bold Skitt
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 17 · OR 13
Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Open Maiden (F & M) · 5f 212y
#15
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Fairview | Wilmien Fourie | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-18 | Fairview | Kyle Strydom | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | Gylann Sham | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Turffontein | Philasande Mxoli | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Turffontein | Diego De Gouveia | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Turffontein | Denis Schwarz | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1738% of fieldRange 5-16 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength42%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/06/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/09/2026 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 23/10/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |