17

Bossy Lady
5yo Mare · 8-3 · Draw 6 · OR 10
Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Open Maiden (F & M) · 5f 212y
#17
Rank
Odds
125/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 10.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Fairview | Yuzae Ramzan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Fairview | Yuzae Ramzan | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Fairview | Jason Gates | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | Bavish Soodoo | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Fairview | Eldin Webber | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fairview | Avuyile Mbumbulu | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 14-17 · tight 80/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength7%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 06/03/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 27/03/2026 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/05/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 03/07/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 09/10/2026 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |