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16

Looking Good

4yo Filly · 8-4 · Draw 8 · OR 22

Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Open Maiden (F & M) · 5f 212y

#12

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 19 Flat runs. 40/1, last of 7 in maiden at Fairview (7f) 21 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13219/06C8C8 @ Fairview 24/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f102y Std 114C8 @ Fairview 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Std 12710/07C8C8 @ Fairview 24/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Std 132C8 @ Fairview 10/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13210/08C8C8 @ Fairview 21/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Std 122C8 @ Fairview 18/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13218/09C8C8 @ Fairview 25/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 119C8 @ Fairview 09/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1159/10C8projClass-projected finish: 15th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09FairviewYuzae Ramzan?7th7th0
2026-09-25FairviewJason Gates?8th8th0
2026-09-18FairviewJason Gates?5th5th0
2026-08-21FairviewYuzae Ramzan?8th8th0
2026-08-10FairviewKyle Strydom?8th8th0
2026-07-24FairviewJason Gates?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0624/0718/099/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1713% of fieldRange 13-17 · tight 79/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20263rd100/10%67%+0.67
24/06/202610th50/10%0%0.00
10/07/20266th25/10%55%+0.55
24/07/20264th18/15%73%+0.67
10/08/20268th28/10%0%0.00
21/08/20268th25/10%0%0.00
18/09/20265th80/10%20%+0.20
25/09/20268th40/10%13%+0.13
09/10/20267th33/10%0%0.00