11

Miss Honey Bee

3yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 4 · OR 58

Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Open Maiden (F & M) · 5f 212y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

125/1, fifth of 11 in maiden at Fairview (6f) 12 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Std 1328/05C8C8 @ Fairview 29/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13229/05C8C8 @ Vaal 30/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13230/07C8C8 @ Vaal 03/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1283/09C8C8 @ Fairview 18/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13018/10C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-18FairviewBongani Makhubo?5th5th0
2026-09-03VaalJeffrey Syster?9th9th0
2026-07-30VaalCalvin Habib?5th5th0
2026-05-29FairviewMalesela Katjedi?6th6th0
2026-05-08FairviewMalesela Katjedi?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0529/0530/073/0918/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 4-15 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength46%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20264th80/10%50%+0.50
29/05/20266th28/10%17%+0.17
30/07/20265th33/10%43%+0.43
03/09/20269th66/10%11%+0.11
18/10/20265th40/10%60%+0.60