15

Peaceofbeauty

4yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 12 · OR 32

Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Open Maiden (F & M) · 5f 212y

#16

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

66/1, seventh of 9 in maiden at Fairview (6f) 35 days ago. Booking of Bungane a plus.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 27/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 13227/02C8C8 @ Fairview 24/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Std 13224/07C8C8 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 1324/09C8C8 @ Fairview 25/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 11525/09C8projClass-projected finish: 13th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25FairviewMalesela Katjedi?7th7th0
2026-09-04FairviewC Maujean?4th4th0
2026-07-24FairviewMalesela Katjedi?11th11th0
2026-02-27FairviewCharles Ndlovu?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0224/074/0925/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 7-17 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength24%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20269th50/10%53%+0.53
24/07/202611th20/10%9%+0.09
04/09/20264th20/10%50%+0.50
25/09/20267th50/10%25%+0.25