10
Queen's Away
3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 14 · OR 34
Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Open Maiden (F & M) · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Fairview | Chad Little | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Fairview | Chad Little | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Fairview | Chad Little | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Fairview | Chad Little | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fairview | Chad Little | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-30 | Fairview | Chad Little | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1744% of fieldRange 14-17 · tight 79/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |