Quick Sketch
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 15 · OR 52
Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Open Maiden (F & M) · 5f 212y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Fairview | Kendall Minnie | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fairview | Kendall Minnie | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-02-06 | Fairview | Kendall Minnie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/03/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 10/04/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |