6
Uncut Gem
3yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 11 · OR 46
Fairview · Welcome To Nelson Mandela Bay Open Maiden (F & M) · 5f 212y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Fairview | Callan Murray | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Fairview | Callan Murray | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kenilworth | S Veale | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Durbanville | S Veale | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 2-13 · tight 49/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 12/08/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 09/10/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |