6
Apples And Tea
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 2 · OR 55
Fairview · youcanbetonus! Maiden Plate · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Fairview | Bongani Makhubo | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | C Maujean | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Fairview | C Maujean | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Fairview | C Maujean | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fairview | Luyolo Mxothwa | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Fairview | Malesela Katjedi | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 20/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 30/09/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |