4
Bugle
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 3 · OR 35
Fairview · youcanbetonus! Maiden Plate · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Fairview | C Maujean | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | Marco V'Rensburg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | Kyle Strydom | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | Kyle Strydom | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Fairview | Mickaelle Michel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Fairview | Kyle Strydom | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 29/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength48%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 38% | -0.45 |
| 17/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 23/10/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |