1
Monkey's Wedding
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 9 · OR 63
Fairview · youcanbetonus! Maiden Plate · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
92%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Fairview | Callan Murray | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-10-02 | Fairview | Chad Little | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Fairview | Callan Murray | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Fairview | Chad Little | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Fairview | Chad Little | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | Chad Little | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 70/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength67%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 43% | -0.40 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 02/10/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 16/10/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 89% | -0.04 |