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3

Palme D'or

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 5 · OR 61

Fairview · youcanbetonus! Maiden Plate · 6f 211y

#6

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

14/10, second of 7 in maiden at Fairview (6f) 28 days ago. Makes turf debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 11/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13411/05C8C8 @ Fairview 19/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13219/06C8C8 @ Fairview 25/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13225/09C8C8 @ Fairview 02/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 1322/10C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02FairviewStallone Naidoo?2nd2nd0
2026-09-25FairviewStallone Naidoo?2nd2nd0
2026-06-19FairviewC Maujean?8th8th0
2026-05-11FairviewStallone Naidoo?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0519/0625/092/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20269th40/10%11%+0.11
19/06/20268th50/10%22%+0.22
25/09/20262nd28/10%88%+0.88
02/10/20262nd7/491%83%-0.07