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9

Queen Of Castille

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 1 · OR 55

Fairview · youcanbetonus! Maiden Plate · 6f 211y

#4

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

28/10, fourth of 10 in maiden at Fairview (7f) 14 days ago. Makes turf debut. Shortlist material.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 4f214y Std 13224/07C8C8 @ Fairview 10/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13210/08C8C8 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 6f102y Std 1349/09C8C8 @ Fairview 16/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12616/10C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-16FairviewAshton Arries?4th4th0
2026-09-09FairviewAshton Arries?2nd2nd0
2026-08-21FairviewEldin Webber?0
2026-08-10FairviewAshton Arries?3rd3rd0
2026-07-24FairviewJeffrey Syster?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0710/089/0916/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 37/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%

Delivery trend -21.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20268th33/10%36%+0.36
10/08/20263rd50/10%71%+0.71
09/09/20262nd9/153%80%+0.27
16/10/20264th11/486%67%-0.19