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2

Johnny Drama

5yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 10 · OR 13

Fairview · Tickets At Howler For The Betway Summer Cup Mr 74 Handicap · 6f 211y

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Thirteen runs since last win in 2025. 66/1, last of 12 in minor event at Fairview (8f) 12 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fairview 08/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 137 · HIGHER CLASS8/05C7C6 @ Fairview 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 26/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 137 · HIGHER CLASS26/06C5C6 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Fairview 21/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS21/08C6C6 @ Fairview 28/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 137 · HIGHER CLASS4/09C5C5 @ Fairview 02/10/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 18/10/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS18/10C5projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-18FairviewKyle Strydom?12th10th+2
2026-10-02FairviewCharles Ndlovu?8th6th+2
2026-09-04FairviewWayne Agrella?5th3rd+2
2026-08-28FairviewC Maujean?3rd3rd+0
2026-08-21FairviewKyle Strydom?7th6th+1
2026-07-17FairviewKyle Strydom?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0517/074/0918/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-9 · tight 74/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20262nd11/142%89%+0.47
05/06/20264th9/153%67%+0.14
26/06/20263rd5/287%78%-0.09
17/07/20265th11/271%43%-0.28
21/08/20267th11/142%25%-0.17
28/08/20263rd22/10%75%+0.75
04/09/20265th5/287%20%-0.67
02/10/20268th25/10%0%0.00
18/10/202612th28/10%0%0.00