8

Rip Wheeler

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 1 · OR 61

Fairview · Tickets At Howler For The Betway Summer Cup Mr 74 Handicap · 6f 211y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner here in June. Fourth of 7 in minor event (33/1) at Fairview (6f) 21 days ago. Others have achieved more.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 07/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 5f169y GS 1327/03C8C8 @ Vaal 28/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y GS 132C8 @ Turffontein 28/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f169y GS 13228/04C8C8 @ Fairview 29/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 132C8 @ Fairview 24/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f102y Std 12024/06C8C6 @ Fairview 10/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASSC8 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13131/07C8C6 @ Fairview 25/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Std 120 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 09/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS9/10C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09FairviewChad Little?4th2nd+2
2026-09-25FairviewMalesela Katjedi?5th4th+1
2026-07-31FairviewChad Little?4th5th−1
2026-07-10FairviewKyle Strydom?8th8th+0
2026-06-24FairviewMalesela Katjedi?1st3rd−1
2026-05-29FairviewMalesela Katjedi?5th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0329/0531/079/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 43/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength71%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
28/03/20266th18/15%38%+0.32
28/04/20267th11/271%14%-0.57
29/05/20265th22/10%60%+0.60
24/06/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
10/07/20268th5/174%13%-0.61
31/07/20264th33/10%50%+0.50
25/09/20265th25/10%33%+0.33
09/10/20264th28/10%50%+0.50