9
Chroniclesofnania
7yo Mare · 8-6 · Draw 2 · OR 49
Fairview · Racing Today Fm 68 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength51%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Fairview | Malesela Katjedi | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-09-25 | Fairview | Malesela Katjedi | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Fairview | Malesela Katjedi | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | Malesela Katjedi | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fairview | Malesela Katjedi | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 61/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength95%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 18% | -0.53 |
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 18% | -0.50 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 36% | -0.32 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 25/09/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 22% | -0.49 |
| 23/10/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |