10
Ice Cap
6yo Mare · 8-6 · Draw 4 · OR 50
Fairview · Racing Today Fm 68 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Fairview | Yuzae Ramzan | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | Yuzae Ramzan | ? | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | Yuzae Ramzan | ? | 10th | 10th | −0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | Yuzae Ramzan | ? | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Fairview | Charles Ndlovu | ? | 8th | 8th | −0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Fairview | Nirvan Nastili | ? | 5th | 5th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 23/01/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 03/04/2026 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 15% | -0.40 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 17/07/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 02/10/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |