Kentucky Lassie

4yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 9 · OR 46

Fairview · Racing Today Fm 68 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y

#10

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARK

Move▬

Strength27%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.6

Today:

Class gap: +0.4

Higher-class runs: 5

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-10-09	Fairview	Malesela Katjedi	?	6th	5th	+1	5.3
2026-08-28	Fairview	Wayne Agrella	?	7th	7th	+0	3.5
2026-07-03	Fairview	Wayne Agrella	?	6th	7th	−1	3.4
2026-06-19	Fairview	Malesela Katjedi	?	5th	4th	+1	5.8
2026-05-15	Fairview	Chad Little	?	8th	8th	+0	2.5
2026-04-22	Fairview	Wayne Agrella	?	9th	9th	+0	1.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 55/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength79%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
23/01/2026	7th	15/8	90%	33%	-0.57
20/02/2026	1st	11/1	42%	100%	+0.58
13/03/2026	9th	13/2	66%	27%	-0.39
22/04/2026	9th	22/1	0%	27%	+0.27
15/05/2026	8th	33/1	0%	30%	+0.30
19/06/2026	5th	33/1	0%	33%	+0.33
03/07/2026	6th	18/1	5%	55%	+0.49
28/08/2026	7th	5/1	74%	40%	-0.34
09/10/2026	6th	14/1	26%	38%	+0.11