Kilmonivaig
7yo Mare · 8-3 · Draw 8 · OR 36
Fairview · Racing Today Fm 68 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Fairview | Charles Ndlovu | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | Charles Ndlovu | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | Malesela Katjedi | ? | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | Eldin Webber | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Fairview | C Maujean | ? | 7th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Fairview | Malesela Katjedi | ? | 8th | 8th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 18% | -0.50 |
| 06/01/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 06/02/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 08/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 09/10/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |