7

My Ami Beach

8yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 11 · OR 53

Fairview · Racing Today Fm 68 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

4-time course winner. Won 11-runner handicap at Fairview (7f, 16/1) 30 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength57%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fairview 03/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1373/04C7C5 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 01/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1371/05C7C7 @ Fairview 08/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Std 133C7 @ Fairview 24/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13124/06C7C7 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Std 130C7 @ Fairview 26/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12826/08C7C7 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 30/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 116 · HIGHER CLASS30/09C7projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-30FairviewJason Gates?1st1st+0
2026-09-09FairviewCharles Ndlovu?4th4th+0
2026-08-26FairviewJason Gates?4th4th−0
2026-07-17FairviewJason Gates?6th6th−0
2026-06-24FairviewWilmien Fourie?10th10th−0
2026-06-08FairviewWilmien Fourie?5th5th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/048/0626/0830/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/04/202610th13/266%31%-0.35
10/04/202610th20/10%47%+0.47
01/05/202610th10/147%10%-0.37
08/06/20265th14/126%67%+0.40
24/06/202610th14/126%10%-0.16
17/07/20266th40/10%62%+0.62
26/08/20264th18/15%67%+0.61
09/09/20264th33/10%63%+0.63
30/09/20261st11/142%100%+0.58