5
Qondanekukhanyeni
5yo Mare · 9-2 · Draw 1 · OR 50
Fairview · Racing Today Fm 68 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength79%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Fairview | Callan Murray | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | Marco V'Rensburg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Fairview | Marco V'Rensburg | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Fairview | Marco V'Rensburg | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairview | Marco V'Rensburg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fairview | Marco V'Rensburg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 47/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/01/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 56% | +0.00 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |