2
Redlight Lane
4yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 6 · OR 63
Fairview · Racing Today Fm 68 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength1%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | Kyle Strydom | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Fairview | Tristan Godden | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kenilworth | Andrew Fortune | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | Varun Jodhee | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-30 | Kenilworth | A Domeyer | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 27/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/12/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 17/01/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 30/03/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 56% | -0.30 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |