8

Tokyo Princess

6yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 34

Fairview · Racing Today Fm 68 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y

#11

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Eighteen runs since last win in 2024. Twelfth of 13 in handicap (40/1) at Fairview (6f) 21 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength76%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kenilworth 31/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS31/055C7 @ Fairview 01/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f102y Std 128C7 @ Fairview 17/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Std 13017/07C7C5 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 118 · HIGHER CLASS9/09C7C7 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y GS 122C7 @ Fairview 25/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 12125/09C7C7 @ Fairview 02/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Std 125C7 @ Fairview 09/10/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS9/10C7projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09FairviewYuzae Ramzan?12th12th+0
2026-10-02FairviewM Yeni?3rd3rd−0
2026-09-25FairviewM Yeni?2nd2nd0
2026-09-11FairviewBongani Makhubo?7th7th0
2026-09-09FairviewAshton Arries?3rd3rd+0
2026-07-31FairviewJeffrey Syster?10th7th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0531/0725/099/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength72%

Delivery trend -0.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/202612th100/10%8%+0.08
01/07/202610th40/10%0%0.00
17/07/202611th80/10%23%+0.23
31/07/202610th100/10%18%+0.18
09/09/20263rd14/126%75%+0.49
11/09/20267th80/10%45%+0.45
25/09/20262nd15/261%89%+0.28
02/10/20263rd9/488%71%-0.17
09/10/202612th20/10%8%+0.08