4

Wild Star

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 5 · OR 53

Fairview · Racing Today Fm 68 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y

#7

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner here in May. Eighth of 12 in handicap at Fairview (7f, 16/1) 12 days ago. Booking of Strydom a plus. Not easy to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 19/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 4f104y Std 12719/12C8C8 @ Fairview 30/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 132C8 @ Fairview 06/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y 1326/03C8C8 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 132C8 @ Fairview 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13229/05C8C7 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 26/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS26/08C5C7 @ Fairview 30/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 18/10/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12818/10C7projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-18FairviewC Maujean?8th8th0
2026-09-30FairviewC Maujean?7th7th+0
2026-08-26FairviewC Maujean?5th2nd+3
2026-07-31FairviewC Maujean?8th8th+0
2026-05-29FairviewC Maujean?1st2nd−1
2026-04-10FairviewC Maujean?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1210/0426/0818/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +6.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/12/20254th8/158%0%-0.58
30/01/20262nd5/174%88%+0.14
06/03/20265th7/491%60%-0.31
10/04/20264th12/137%63%+0.26
29/05/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
31/07/20268th9/153%36%-0.16
26/08/20265th18/15%43%+0.38
30/09/20267th40/10%40%+0.40
18/10/20268th12/137%36%-0.00