8

Asinantanga
5yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 70
Fairview · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 86 Handicap · 7f 210y
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 7th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 11th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 43/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 07/03/2025 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 91% | -0.06 |
| 04/04/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 24/10/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 16/01/2026 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 13/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 08/05/2026 | 9th | 9/4 | 88% | 11% | -0.77 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |