8

Asinantanga

5yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 70

Fairview · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 86 Handicap · 7f 210y

#6

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Career best when winning 12-runner handicap at this C&D (good to soft, 25/2) 49 days ago. Can make presence felt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 14/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13214/02C8C8 @ Fairview 07/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 132C8 @ Fairview 04/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1324/04C8C7 @ Fairview 24/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 135C5 @ Fairview 16/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS16/01C5C5 @ Fairview 13/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12710/04C6C7 @ Fairview 08/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 131C7 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 7f210y GS 13711/09C7projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11FairviewCraig Zackey?1st2nd−1
2026-05-08FairviewCraig Zackey?9th10th−1
2026-04-10FairviewCraig Zackey?3rd4th−1
2026-02-13FairviewCraig Zackey?7th5th+1
2026-01-16FairviewCraig Zackey?11th9th+1
2025-10-24FairviewCraig Zackey?7th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0224/1010/0411/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 43/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength68%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/20252nd11/893%83%-0.09
07/03/20252nd1/297%91%-0.06
04/04/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
24/10/20257th10/147%33%-0.14
16/01/202611th7/282%0%-0.82
13/02/20267th12/137%50%+0.13
10/04/20263rd7/163%82%+0.19
08/05/20269th9/488%11%-0.77
11/09/20261st10/147%100%+0.53