3

Dynalley

6yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 9 · OR 76

Fairview · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 86 Handicap · 7f 210y

#5

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Career best when winning 9-runner handicap (20/1) at Fairview (8f) 30 days ago. Improving all the time recently.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairview 07/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m Std 1317/11C6C6 @ Fairview 19/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 126C6 @ Fairview 02/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 1302/01C6C5 @ Fairview 23/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 27/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 137 · HIGHER CLASS27/02C5C6 @ Fairview 10/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 134C6 @ Fairview 24/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 12824/07C6C6 @ Fairview 21/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 132C6 @ Fairview 30/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 13630/09C6projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-30FairviewKyle Strydom?1st2nd−1
2026-08-21FairviewWayne Agrella?5th5th−0
2026-07-24FairviewWayne Agrella?9th9th−0
2026-07-10FairviewWayne Agrella?7th8th−0
2026-02-27FairviewCraig Zackey?1st-1th+1
2026-01-23FairviewWayne Agrella?6th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1123/0124/0730/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +7.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20252nd6/168%90%+0.22
19/12/20253rd11/486%78%-0.08
02/01/20264th4/179%63%-0.16
23/01/20266th5/174%29%-0.45
27/02/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
10/07/20267th9/488%25%-0.63
24/07/20269th22/10%11%+0.11
21/08/20265th20/10%50%+0.50
30/09/20261st14/126%100%+0.74