IvyArcIvyArc
4

George Handel

6yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 4 · OR 76

Fairview · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 86 Handicap · 7f 210y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

21%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Seventeen runs since last win in 2025. 28/10, respectable third of 7 in minor event at Fairview (9.9f) 28 days ago. Back down in trip. Can make presence felt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength67%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairview 03/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 1343/04C6C5 @ Fairview 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Fairview 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Std 13729/05C6C5 @ Fairview 08/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 19/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m209y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS19/06C5C6 @ Fairview 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 130C5 @ Fairview 10/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS10/08C5C6 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 137C5 @ Fairview 02/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS2/10C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02FairviewM Yeni?3rd1st+1
2026-09-04FairviewM Yeni?2nd3rd−0
2026-08-10FairviewM Yeni?2nd0th+1
2026-07-24FairviewM Yeni?3rd3rd−0
2026-06-19FairviewKyle Strydom?8th6th+1
2026-06-08FairviewKyle Strydom?8th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/048/0610/082/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 30/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength54%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/04/20267th11/142%33%-0.09
08/05/20264th11/142%63%+0.20
29/05/20262nd18/15%86%+0.80
08/06/20268th9/276%22%-0.54
19/06/20268th13/266%0%-0.66
24/07/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15
10/08/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
04/09/20262nd7/282%67%-0.15
02/10/20263rd11/486%67%-0.19