7
Richardthefearless
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 58
Fairview · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 86 Handicap · 7f 210y
#8
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength47%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Fairview | C Maujean | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | Craig Zackey | ? | 7th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | Bongani Makhubo | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Fairview | Calvin Habib | ? | 4th | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | Chad Little | ? | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Fairview | Kyle Strydom | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 60/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 22% | -0.38 |
| 03/04/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 08/06/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 07/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 26/08/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/09/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |