9
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5yo Gelding · 8-5 · Draw 6 · OR 70
Fairview · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 86 Handicap · 7f 210y
#9
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength60%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Fairview | Callan Murray | ? | 5th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Fairview | Marco V'Rensburg | ? | 12th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairview | Marco V'Rensburg | ? | 10th | 11th | −0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Kenilworth | R Fourie | ? | 10th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Kenilworth | R Fourie | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-03-25 | Durbanville | G Wright | 4 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-9 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 63% | -0.31 |
| 03/05/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 05/06/2026 | 10th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 31/07/2026 | 12th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 25/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |