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Terminator

6yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 8 · OR 40

Fairview · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 86 Handicap · 7f 210y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

7/2, sixth of 7 in minor event at Fairview (9.9f) 28 days ago. Back down in trip. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength71%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Scottsville 29/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS29/064C5 @ Scottsville 23/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y 119 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Scottsville 21/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS21/094C5 @ Greyville 19/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f98y GS 126 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Scottsville 01/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f101y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASS1/03C53 @ Greyville 24/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f98y GS 121 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 10/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS10/08C5C5 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f208y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 02/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS2/10C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02FairviewMalesela Katjedi?6th4th+1
2026-09-11FairviewChad Little?2nd0th+1
2026-08-10FairviewChad Little?7th5th+1
2026-04-24GreyvilleSerino Moodley311th8th+3
2026-03-01ScottsvilleSerino Moodley?7th5th+1
2025-12-19GreyvilleTristan Godden?3rd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0619/1210/082/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 43/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength67%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20252nd15/890%93%+0.03
23/07/20254th3/184%50%-0.34
21/09/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
19/12/20253rd10/382%78%-0.05
01/03/20267th7/163%33%-0.30
24/04/202611th17/255%0%-0.55
10/08/20267th28/10%0%0.00
11/09/20262nd28/10%83%+0.83
02/10/20266th7/282%17%-0.65