6

Ocean Flame

4yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 64

Fairview · Betway Summer Cup 28 November Fm 82 Handicap (F & M) · 1m 1f 208y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Career best when winning 6-runner handicap at Fairview (9.4f, 9/2) 51 days ago. Looks competitive on form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairview 03/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1323/02C8C0 @ Fairview 13/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 123C7 @ Fairview 27/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Std 12827/03C7C7 @ Fairview 22/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 137C6 @ Fairview 08/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 1238/05C6C7 @ Fairview 08/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Std 139C7 @ Fairview 24/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12824/06C7C7 @ Fairview 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 133C7 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 1369/09C7projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09FairviewWayne Agrella?1st2nd−1
2026-08-21FairviewWayne Agrella?4th5th−1
2026-06-24FairviewKyle Strydom?6th7th−0
2026-06-08FairviewBavish Soodoo?9th10th−1
2026-05-08FairviewMarco V'Rensburg?8th8th−0
2026-04-22FairviewWayne Agrella?6th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0222/0424/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength87%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/02/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
13/03/202610th28/10%10%+0.10
27/03/20263rd22/10%82%+0.82
22/04/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
08/05/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
08/06/20269th15/261%33%-0.27
24/06/20266th20/10%55%+0.55
21/08/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
09/09/20261st4/179%100%+0.21