6

Ocean Flame
4yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 64
Fairview · Betway Summer Cup 28 November Fm 82 Handicap (F & M) · 1m 1f 208y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Fairview | Wayne Agrella | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Fairview | Wayne Agrella | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | Kyle Strydom | ? | 6th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Fairview | Bavish Soodoo | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Fairview | Marco V'Rensburg | ? | 8th | 8th | −0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Fairview | Wayne Agrella | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength87%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 13/03/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 22/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 08/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/06/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |