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4

Queen Amina

5yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 49

Fairview · Betway Summer Cup 28 November Fm 82 Handicap (F & M) · 1m 1f 208y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Twelve runs since last win in 2025. Last of 6 in minor event at Fairview (8f, 66/1) 14 days ago. Back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength63%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Greyville 05/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f98y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS5/124C5 @ Greyville 19/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f205y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Scottsville 25/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f153y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS25/0144 @ Greyville 22/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f98y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Greyville 08/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS8/04C54 @ Greyville 27/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m209y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Scottsville 02/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 126 · HIGHER CLASS2/084C6 @ Fairview 09/10/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Fairview 16/10/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 7f210y Std 12616/10C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-16FairviewKyle Strydom?6th6th0
2026-10-09FairviewKyle Strydom?8th8th+0
2026-08-02ScottsvilleSiphesihle Hlengwa49th7th+2
2026-05-27GreyvilleCalvin Habib49th7th+2
2026-04-08GreyvilleCraig Zackey?6th4th+2
2026-03-22GreyvilleChad Little413th11th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1222/032/0816/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · tight 76/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength9%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/12/20258th22/10%13%+0.13
19/12/202511th22/10%0%0.00
25/01/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
22/03/202613th18/15%0%-0.05
08/04/20266th13/266%17%-0.49
27/05/20269th40/10%0%0.00
02/08/20269th66/10%0%0.00
09/10/20268th50/10%13%+0.13
16/10/20266th40/10%0%0.00