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3

Royal Missy

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 4 · OR 30

Fairview · Betway Summer Cup 28 November Fm 82 Handicap (F & M) · 1m 1f 208y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Eleven runs since last win in 2025. Last of 7 in minor event (40/1) at Fairview (8f) 28 days ago. Back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength61%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fairview 13/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 12813/03C?C0 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 132C1 @ Fairview 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f206y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS8/05C1C0 @ Fairview 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f206y Std 123C6 @ Fairview 01/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 1341/07C6C5 @ Fairview 10/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Fairview 26/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 13226/08C6C6 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 7f210y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 02/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 114 · HIGHER CLASS2/10C5projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02FairviewMalesela Katjedi?7th6th+1
2026-09-09FairviewChad Little?5th5th+0
2026-08-26FairviewBongani Makhubo?4th4th−0
2026-08-10FairviewBongani Makhubo?5th3rd+2
2026-07-01FairviewChad Little?4th4th−0
2026-06-12FairviewChad Little?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0312/0626/082/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength3%

Delivery trend -11.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/03/20265th22/10%60%+0.60
10/04/20262nd33/10%80%+0.80
08/05/20265th10/147%33%-0.14
12/06/20266th8/158%29%-0.29
01/07/20264th10/147%57%+0.10
10/08/20265th25/10%33%+0.33
26/08/20264th4/179%50%-0.29
09/09/20265th9/276%0%-0.76
02/10/20267th40/10%0%0.00