1
Silvan Mistress
4yo Filly · 10-0 · Draw 6 · OR 74
Fairview · Betway Summer Cup 28 November Fm 82 Handicap (F & M) · 1m 1f 208y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
96%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength100%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.9
Today:
Class gap: +4.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fairview | Kyle Strydom | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Fairview | Malesela Katjedi | ? | 9th | 3rd | +5 |
| 2026-05-08 | Fairview | Calvin Habib | ? | 6th | 0th | +5 |
| 2026-04-10 | Fairview | R Fourie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fairview | Luyolo Mxothwa | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Fairview | Kendall Minnie | ? | 5th | -1th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 22/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 14/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |