1

Givethatmanabells

6yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 10 · OR 56

Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Mr 68 Handicap · 5f 212y

#2

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

35%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Latest win here in August. Fifth of 7 in minor event (7/2) at Fairview (6f) 21 days ago. Can give a good account without posing serious threat to principals.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength93%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Kenilworth 10/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS10/11C55 @ Kenilworth 03/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Kenilworth 27/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS27/0455 @ Kenilworth 24/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Durbanville 27/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS27/065C7 @ Fairview 07/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 136C5 @ Fairview 26/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS26/08C5C5 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 09/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS9/10C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09FairviewJ V'd Merwe?5th2nd+3
2026-09-11FairviewCraig Zackey?3rd0th+3
2026-08-26FairviewCraig Zackey?6th3rd+3
2026-08-07FairviewCalvin Habib?1st1st−0
2026-06-27DurbanvilleK De Melo57th5th+2
2026-05-24KenilworthAndrew Fortune56th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1124/0526/089/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength7%

Delivery trend -7.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/11/20252nd11/142%88%+0.45
03/12/20252nd3/184%88%+0.03
27/04/20267th9/153%40%-0.13
24/05/20266th8/158%38%-0.20
27/06/20267th3/184%0%-0.84
07/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
26/08/20266th9/488%29%-0.60
11/09/20263rd5/287%78%-0.09
09/10/20265th7/282%33%-0.48