6

Here Comes Johnny

4yo Colt · 9-6 · Draw 8 · OR 51

Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Mr 68 Handicap · 5f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

7/2, sixth of 8 in maiden at Fairview (5f). Off 91 days. Makes handicap debut. Not easy to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 21/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13221/09C8C8 @ Greyville 12/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 132C8 @ Fairview 16/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13216/01C8C8 @ Fairview 06/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 4f214y GS 130C8 @ Fairview 27/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12327/02C8C8 @ Fairview 13/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 132C8 @ Fairview 29/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Std 13229/05C8C8 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Std 13231/07C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31FairviewChad Little?6th7th−1
2026-05-29FairviewKyle Strydom?11th12th−1
2026-03-13FairviewCraig Zackey?3rd4th−1
2026-02-27FairviewM Yeni?3rd4th−1
2026-02-06FairviewAndrew Fortune?3rd4th−1
2026-01-16FairviewGirish Dookhit?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/096/0229/0531/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 89/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -10.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20258th16/116%22%+0.06
12/11/20257th12/137%0%-0.37
16/01/20263rd20/10%86%+0.86
06/02/20263rd4/179%82%+0.03
27/02/20263rd9/276%88%+0.11
13/03/20263rd2/189%85%-0.05
29/05/202611th10/382%0%-0.82
31/07/20266th7/282%29%-0.53