Marketa

4yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 7 · OR 63

Fairview · Play Soccer 6, 10 And 13 Mr 68 Handicap · 5f 212y

#4

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARK

Move▬

Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C6.5

Today:

Class gap: +0.5

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-10-16	Fairview	Ashton Arries	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-09-09	Fairview	Ashton Arries	?	1st	1st	−0	8.9
2026-08-21	Fairview	Yuzae Ramzan	?	4th	4th	+0	6.5
2026-07-31	Fairview	Jeffrey Syster	?	5th	5th	+0	5.1
2026-07-03	Fairview	Bongani Makhubo	?	7th	8th	−1	2.4
2026-05-31	Kenilworth	Sifisokuhle Bungane	4	11th	7th	+3	2.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-5 · tight 80/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▬

Strength62%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
30/03/2026	7th	33/1	0%	33%	+0.33
18/04/2026	10th	66/1	0%	0%	0.00
16/05/2026	7th	33/1	0%	0%	0.00
31/05/2026	11th	100/1	0%	9%	+0.09
03/07/2026	7th	14/1	26%	45%	+0.19
31/07/2026	5th	12/1	37%	64%	+0.27
21/08/2026	4th	11/1	42%	63%	+0.20
09/09/2026	1st	4/1	79%	100%	+0.21
16/10/2026	3rd	6/1	68%	82%	+0.13